Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-10 00:00:00+00:00 47.299414 54.225826 61.421416 69.423280 78.042178 87.017261 97.040659
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 36.116936 45.730327 56.296145 68.638880 82.535182 97.580339 114.985636
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 29.228795 40.075640 52.529478 67.612383 85.126632 104.589029 127.621543
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 24.683241 36.379812 50.337339 67.764114 88.514759 112.051427 140.395131
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 21.132444 33.377121 48.523822 67.958508 91.610001 118.906431 152.255411
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 18.443337 31.112615 47.316924 68.622893 95.048380 126.000097 164.273895
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 15.582170 28.266373 45.083261 67.762407 96.435418 130.514132 173.152737
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 13.912154 26.866417 44.567884 68.936843 100.218164 137.822451 185.298462
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 12.578967 25.792199 44.365534 70.418419 104.317351 145.477370 197.850717
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 10.704583 23.677136 42.559788 69.646811 105.454552 149.435619 205.899666
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 8.771546 21.213875 40.062100 67.776134 105.043237 151.377598 211.419362
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 8.299366 21.107837 40.940788 70.489565 110.580083 160.739068 226.046962
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 7.583437 20.516830 41.078680 72.192029 114.844429 168.595129 238.960145
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 6.325840 18.782421 39.365586 71.203983 115.483997 171.842289 246.168318
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 5.230790 17.169326 37.705397 70.180470 115.990045 174.857962 253.045649
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 4.496444 16.148134 36.901012 70.331841 118.041085 179.829404 262.364160
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 3.858994 15.217110 36.167785 70.531346 120.120582 184.818696 271.703171
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 3.370404 14.527756 35.782357 71.211120 122.840509 190.633817 282.096181
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 2.725684 13.323754 34.417055 70.330594 123.332595 193.500916 288.723300
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 2.422906 12.917103 34.419514 71.532373 126.744328 200.214371 300.280977
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 2.186424 12.640239 34.631171 73.048193 130.601543 207.529087 312.634757
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 1.737084 11.630527 33.416603 72.258785 131.129416 210.396759 319.257950
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 1.262042 10.343081 31.556904 70.344641 129.966960 210.954158 322.858794